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In 1994 ...
Opponents of 3-Strikes made predictions and projections as to the effect and impact of the nation�s toughest crime law.
Predictions
1. California prison population would double in 5 years, reaching 250,000.
2. California would need to build 20 new prisons.
3. Crime reductions would be minimal at best.
4. More courts would be needed due to clogging by defendants taking their cases to trial.
5. More deaths of police officers having to arrest more desperate criminals.
Now 10 years have passed and projections
and predictions can be replaced with facts.
1. California prison population would double in 5 years, reaching 250,000.
California�s prison population 10 years after 3-Strikes has held at approximately 160,000 for the last 4 years, with an overall increase of 25.5%.
Ten years prior to 3-Strikes, California�s prison population expanded 400%.
2. California would need to build 20 new prisons.
Ten years prior to 3-Strikes, California built 19 new prisons. Ten years after 3-Strikes, California has opened no new prisons.
3. Crime reductions would be minimal at best.
California has seen the longest and greatest drop in crime in the last 10 years since such records have been kept. The most remarkable part of these side-by-side crime drops is that at the same time California increased its general population by 1/3, which is a total reversal of what was projected, since more population has historically always proportionately translated into more crime.
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